Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 1.952100 2.122094 2.303101 2.510685 2.742784 2.995003 3.290763
2025-12-07 1.687651 1.917314 2.176142 2.491305 2.867207 3.304332 3.855722
2025-12-14 1.509631 1.769561 2.074673 2.462897 2.948963 3.544474 4.340357
2025-12-21 1.350399 1.620449 1.947344 2.377579 2.937079 3.651684 4.652842
2025-12-28 1.264594 1.549632 1.904361 2.385860 3.034444 3.895961 5.158896
2026-01-04 1.201117 1.499520 1.880196 2.411553 3.150784 4.169272 5.727992
2026-01-11 1.148798 1.458448 1.862427 2.440918 3.270180 4.452681 6.338550
2026-01-18 1.101359 1.419533 1.843159 2.464171 3.379442 4.727457 6.963674
2026-01-25 1.052869 1.375382 1.812646 2.467321 3.456894 4.958410 7.542873
2026-02-01 0.991726 1.309795 1.747494 2.414356 3.443823 5.045621 7.891123
2026-02-08 0.941802 1.256917 1.696760 2.378238 3.452016 5.164440 8.303373
2026-02-15 0.902625 1.217031 1.662064 2.363154 3.490649 5.334003 8.823023
2026-02-22 0.884819 1.207640 1.672279 2.419061 3.650215 5.725422 9.813373
2026-03-01 0.849449 1.170687 1.639271 2.404663 3.692260 5.917843 10.450910
2026-03-08 0.813826 1.131506 1.600567 2.378142 3.710826 6.068848 11.025332
2026-03-15 0.767440 1.074040 1.530871 2.296634 3.627703 6.025271 11.188877
2026-03-22 0.745605 1.052764 1.516090 2.304571 3.701844 6.281464 12.029169
2026-03-29 0.729031 1.038678 1.511654 2.329152 3.807083 6.606841 13.073937
2026-04-05 0.714243 1.026589 1.509578 2.357240 3.920395 6.959099 14.240276
2026-04-12 0.699086 1.013165 1.504509 2.379478 4.023984 7.301897 15.444765
2026-04-19 0.680912 0.994132 1.489235 2.382490 4.090494 7.573674 16.520238
2026-04-26 0.653276 0.958853 1.445498 2.331834 4.047971 7.606935 16.977670
2026-05-03 0.630308 0.930266 1.411701 2.297283 4.034737 7.702589 17.620151